The Renewables Blog

Can the public administration become self-sufficient? Energy, self-consumption and emissions

4 Aug 2026 | Studies and research

Producing a quantity of energy in a year similar to the annual consumption of a perimeter does not mean making it self-sufficient. To transform the potential of public roofs into actually used energy, hourly profiles, the grid, contracts, storage and sharing rules are needed.

7.53 TWhdeclared annual theoretical production
312,285 TWhItalian electrical question 2024
192,6 gCO₂/kWhaverage ISPRA factor 2024
1.45 MtCO₂etheoretical maximum accounting profit for the first year
Transparency notice. The values 5.68 GW, 7.53 TWh/year and 6.8 billion euros are results declared by the Heiwit model. The document audit of 4 August 2026 was unable to replicate them in full because detailed datasets, code, API logs, bootstrap outputs, GSE matching and cash flow were missing from the material received. The limitation is stated, not hidden.

Annual balance and self-sufficiency are not synonyms

In the original report, the electricity demand of the public administration was indicated in the region of 5–7 TWh, but the specific source still needs to be included. Even provisionally accepting the range, the comparison with 7.53 TWh yields an arithmetic balance between 0.53 and 2.53 TWh. This does not demonstrate self-sufficiency.

Solar PV generates electricity during the day and especially in the sunniest months. Hospitals and offices have significant daytime loads, while schools and town halls can have very different profiles. Excess energy from one building cannot be automatically allocated to another public building without a compatible technical and contractual setup.

The operating variables

  • Self-consumption How much of the generation matches the consumption at the same connection point?
  • Network Can the substation and the local network accommodate the feed-in?
  • Share: energy communities and self-consumption setups can monetise part of the energy, within the limits of the applicable rules.
  • Accumulo: It can shift energy over time, but this adds to costs, leads to losses and introduces design criteria.
  • Curtailment: a production quota may be unusable or non-marketable.

Avoided emissions: the correction

ISPRA reports an average factor associated with electricity consumption of 192.6 gCO₂/kWh for 2024. Applied to 7.53 TWh, this gives a theoretical maximum for the first year of approximately 1.45 MtCO₂. Applying a feasibility scenario of 60–80%, the order of magnitude becomes 0.87–1.16 MtCO₂ per year.

This is an average, not a marginal, estimate: it does not necessarily describe which power stations would reduce output in any given hour. Furthermore, the grid factor will decrease with decarbonisation; for this reason, a simple constant multiplication for 25 years is not presented.

The role of storage

Energy storage can increase local energy consumption, support evening loads and provide flexibility. However, it should not be installed uniformly across all buildings. A hospital with continuous energy consumption may already have a high level of self-consumption; a school that is closed in August may require energy sharing, load management or a battery sized to match actual consumption patterns.

From theoretical energy to public value

The most useful metric is not just the TWh produced. It is the share of energy self-consumed, shared or fed into the grid with economic value, together with the reduction in the organisation's costs and the resilience of essential services. This part requires consumption data that the study will need to integrate in the next phase.